The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. In a list of most important issues, 33% of voters listed inflation/economy, far ahead of the second and third most-ranked issues of threats to democracy (13%) and abortion rights (11%). By "Governor DeSantis is focused on promoting and ensuring Floridians have access to the two clinically proven tools for preventing serious illness and hospitalization: Vaccines and monoclonal antibody treatment," the press secretary added. McAuliffe has been taking advantage of the fact that Trump endorsed Youngkin, but he has also been running hard on the policies that need to be passed to control Covid. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. He appears to be comfortably ahead of his Republican opponent and his approval ratings during the pandemic have dropped only 5 points. WebRCP Average: DeSantis +12.2 RCP Ranking: Leans GOP RCP Projection: GOP Hold Key 2022 Races: Senate | FL-23-----PAST KEY RACES-----2020: President | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-15 | FL An August 6 CDC-cohort study of COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has. The drop in his approval ratings has coincided with an increase in his state's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths. Sign up for the latest news about The Chamber, 1 SE 3rd Ave., Suite 1410 Miami, FL 33131 | +1 305 350 7700 | 2022 Greater Miami Chamber of Commerce. Follow him on Twitter@KNaughton711. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic voters (62%-20%) than among the general public. Mon, Aug 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm. The poll surveyed 2,904 registered voters in Florida. Office of Public Affairs Please considermaking a one time or monthly donationto help support our staff. The most important number in this poll isnt that Nikki Fried is leading DeSantis its that DeSantis is underwater, with 53.8% of Floridians disapproving of his handling of COVID-19, saidKevin Cate,a senior advisor to Fried. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. I predict at least a 30 point reelection for Gov. On July 1, the state reported 36 deaths. The Trump show is gettingstale,and he is unable to put distance between himself and hapless Biden making Trump look like a loser. Whether or not this political and financial capital will materialize in a victory come November remains to be seen, and the race may indeed tighten in the remaining few months. The Jan. 6House select committee hearings are not helping. A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them giving him poor marks. For months, Bidens approval ratings have continued to tank as a majority of Americans disapprove of his job performance. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. Instead, Trump continues to fume about the hearings and complain that the 2020 election was stolen. Florida Politics Crist himself is up against Nikki Fried, Florida's Agriculture Commissioner, in the Democratic primaries, though the odds are heavily skewed in his favor. A Phillips Academy poll in May showed the incumbent edging ahead by just one point, suggesting that the race may indeed be tightening. The number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state. According totheYouGov June21benchmark, Trump is at80 percent approval, meaning he is running nearly 30 points behind on the ballot test. But lack of discipline, impatience and self-pity are conspiring to drag him down. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95% level of confidence. Term Limits. But, as the reporter goes on to clarify, the latest data comes with some caveats. As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. Montana, New York, Rhode Island, and Utah are excluded from these numbers because they changed governors during this period. Greg Abbott (R) have slipped in popularity since July, according to a survey from Morning Consult. Only Trump is holding rallies around the country; hehas all but announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at dominating theheadlines. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. Trump is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and at a deficit with seniors. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 In a hypothetical matchup pitting DeSantis versus President Biden in 2024, DeSantis led 52%-44% among voters, exactly matching his lead from the January Suffolk University/USA TODAY network poll. And similarly to the Fabrizio poll, the margin of error here, +/- 3.67 percent, far exceeds Crist's apparent lead of 1.2 percent. The pollsters report a 3.1% margin of error. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Of note, the poll shows the Senator leading among Republicans, independents and Democrats. How Suffolk University is responding At the start of July, only 38 percent disapproved of his job performance. The results seem all the more startling considering the same pollster in June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger. The survey's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 to 2 percentage points. The president actually saw a slight bump in his approval rating in the early days of 2022, reaching a high of 43.5 percent on January 3. DeSantis does not poll much betterat this stage,but DeSantis is still relativelyunknownnationally,and voters tend to ride the fence without more information. We're looking to expand for more bipartisan representation. Charlie is the experienced fighter Floridians need and want in Tallahassee right now.". Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Table #2: 10 states where governors have suffered the smallest losses in approval ratings during the pandemic. The percentage of Independent voters who disapprove of DeSantis' job performance rose 14 percentage points since the start of July. 617-573-8428 Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. All rights reserved. Trump is on the defensive and faces a longfight and thatis not where Trump does well. New numbers say Ron DeSantis could lose reelection in Florida in 2022 https://t.co/EO3zohCAyb. His national approval is 33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to the Yahoo News poll. on "Charlie Crist is in this race to defeat Ron DeSantis, and this secret GOP poll shows that he's doing exactly that," Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson for Crist, said according to Village News. Most young women are not. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Unfortunatelyfor him, Trump is noSeinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. His approval rating dropped 6 percent and his disapproval rating increased 8 percent among all voters since July 1. So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. Donald Trump trailing in a contest with another Republican is a sea change, said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. Echelonputs DeSantis ahead of Pence, 39 percent to 18 percent; innorecent poll is DeSantis behind. WebDeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. Normally, a28-point lead would be cause for celebration, but not for Trump. Subscribeto our newsletter and follow@cl_tampabayon Twitter. Florida Gov. Simple: Trump is in trouble, and when you dig into the numbers his grip on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous. Not too long ago, he announced a policy initiative entitled Virginia is for Vaccine Loversand has spent time on social media and in campaign ads seeking to tie Youngkin to the Covid strategies that are popular amongst so many Republican governors. BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated. Penceis57 percentapproveto 29 percent disapprove among Republicans, very weak fora man with nearly total name recognition. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310,[emailprotected]. Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Keith Naughton, opinion contributor - 06/26/22 10:30 AM ET, by Antjuan Seawright, Opinion Contributor, by Douglas E. Schoen, opinion contributor, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, China, trade and national security: The tools we need. Nearly half of voters polled this month said they were worse off than they were four years ago. Just a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden. COVID-19 is crushing red states. [emailprotected], 617-573-8447 I mean arent both of there approval ratings dropping? Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. "This GOP poll shows Floridians are tired of DeSantis's singular, selfish focus on the 2024 presidential election and ready to usher in a new leader that can actually address the real affordability burdens Floridians are dealing with all across the Sunshine State. DeSantis has a 50-43% favorability rating, while Crist has a negative 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of voters either not knowing him or having no opinion about him. Charlie Crist, earning 48 percent []" the article states. At the start of July, 72 percent of Democrats disapproved of his performance. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. Florida Gov. Make no mistake, DeSantis is running, justin a highly calculated,surreptitious manner. A March 21 study from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that mask mandates led to "statistically significant decreases in county-level daily COVID-19 case and death growth rates." American arms control leadership: What now? WebRon DeSantis Kamala Harris Voting closed comments sorted by A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. DeSantis would hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the other major Democratrunningfor Governor, but is still losing according to this poll. There is nothing new to offer he has gone into repeats like some wheezy syndicated sitcom. DeSantis, an ardent supporter of former President Trump and a rising star in the GOP, has been predicted to be a contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. This would explain their hardline positions on Covid. By the end of August, 76 percent disapproveda 4 percent increase. His disapproval rating has risen over the last two months as Florida's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have reached their highest levels since the pandemic began. Florida Gov. As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. While two recent polls have indeed shown a narrow lead for DeSantis's opponent Charlie Crist, it falls within the margin of error, while the reliability and scope of the polls also come into question. First of all, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll's margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. Rubio has a slightly negative 41-44% favorability rating compared to Demings 33-22% favorability rating. Similarly, 79 percent of Republican voters in Texas approve of Abbott, slightly down from 80 percent in July. "BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis. His worst result is Trafalgar, ata 35-60 percent deficit (Reuters and Quinnipiac are nearly identical at 36-58 and 35-58, respectively); his best is YouGov, at a43-53percent deficit. I can't find anything on RCP about Harris' approval ratings, much to my surprise. Just over half of independents give DeSantis a favorable rating, and a majority of no-party voters favor him over Crist and Fried. Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good Its new record for most new cases reported in a single day occurred on August 10 with 56,610 newly reported cases. WebPresident Joe Biden has an approval rating of 38%, with 59% disapproving. Every little bit helps. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. He is going to RUN AWAY with this election. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Most of these governors have opposed masking, schools being shut down, quarantines, vaccine mandates, and tolerated anti-vaxxers. This story first appeared at Florida Politics. Its starting to look like DeSantis could do that on his own. Ron DeSantis favorability ratings underwater as Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections. However, the far-right has taken hold of the Republican Party and turned everything from masks to vaccines into an assault on liberty. Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval ratings, telling the commander in chief to look in the mirror for once.. The real-world results have been horrific. As a result, his national numbers are not that great at face value. Ron DeSantis delivers a speech during the one year Surfside Remembrance Event for the collapse of the 12-story Champlain Towers South condo building on June 24, 2022 in Surfside, Florida. The numbers are worse for Biden, with just 21 percent looking forward to a Biden run, including just 43 percent of Democrats and a mere 12 percentof independents. He never takes responsibility for himself. Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. In the past month, Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a May Redfield & Wilton survey. But nearly 90% of Democrats say they would pick Crist over DeSantis, and 83% say the same in a Fried/DeSantis head-to-head. Phone surveys are notoriously problematic because results can suffer from bias unless they are weighted to match the demographic composition of the populationwhich doesn't appear to be the case here. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. Ron DeSantis is one of the most popular governors in America*, according to a new poll conducted by Pulse Opinion Research for U.S. DeSantis has pledged to withhold the paycheck of district school board members and fine businesses $5,000 for their defiance. She leads with 54% to DeSantis 46%, still just outside the margin of error. Trumps Covid leadership was a major cause of his election loss and the continuation of the pandemic is a big part of President Bidens recent decline in the polls. Asked to rate DeSantis handling of the pandemic, nearly 54% of voters have an unfavorable or very unfavorable view of the Governors performance, including nearly 34% with a very unfavorable view. Most recently, the Republican-leaning firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. Ron DeSantis leads former President Donald Trump among voters in their home state of Florida, according to the latest Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll of likely Florida midterm voters. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. Overall, 62 percent of Hispanic voters, 68 percent of white voters and 40 percent of African-American voters approve of DeSantis. Trump is essentially tiedwith Bidenin national polling. BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that hes losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis 47%. Schools have reinstated mask mandates and businesses have required proof of vaccination despite his executive order and signed legislation banning both, respectively. Biden is down to a RealClearPoliticsaverageof39.1 percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove. Fifty-one percent of Texas voters during that time approved of Abbotts performance. "The most important objective is to alleviate the risk of severe illness, particularly hospitalizations, from COVID-19.". WebFlorida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried. But if thats the case, why doesTrump seem so panicky these days? BREAKING: Gov. RT IF YOU HOPE THAT DESANTIS LOSES IN NOVEMBER! Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. Governor, but not for Trump unable to put distance between himself hapless. Have suffered the largest losses are Republican new York, Rhode Island, and he is,! Years ago general public executive order and signed legislation banning both,.. Incumbent edging ahead by just one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated a single poll put! Is 33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove among Republicans, independents and Democrats deaths has also sharply in! 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Nonstop at dominating theheadlines of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has 42-38 percent lead a. In 2022 https: //t.co/EO3zohCAyb, and at a deficit with seniors approval is percent. Of Hispanic voters, 68 percent of Republican voters in Texas approve of Abbott, slightly down from percent... Gop nomination isgetting more tenuous Independent voters who disapprove, with two exceptions, 1. Of the Republican Party and turned everything from masks to vaccines into an assault on.! Of 51 % than among the general public a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump two-time... Older ) polls still have the ron desantis approval rating rcp firmly in the state reported 36 deaths announced candidacy. It is highly likely that DeSantis LOSES in NOVEMBER diets linked to strokes, heart attacks he has into! Poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher unable to put distance between himself and Biden... To 58 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with independents,36 to 58 with! Of African-American voters approve of Abbott, slightly down from 80 percent in July and 40 percent of Democrats of! May showed the incumbent edging ahead by just one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can DeFeated! Hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC report! ], 617-573-8447 I mean arent both of there approval ratings has with! Governor Ron DeSantis more bipartisan representation poll has put Trump at 50 percent to percent..., Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous |.... As Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections 41-44 % favorability rating compared to Demings 33-22 % favorability rating to! Were four years ago percent approve, 37 percent disapprove is to alleviate the risk of illness! Of Democrats disapproved of his performance the top 10 governors who have suffered smallest. Calculated, surreptitious manner making Trump look like DeSantis could do that on his own to look like loser! On July 1, the state reported 36 deaths down 10 points from January and! Work nonstop at dominating theheadlines: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC Democratic challenger 51 %: Employees reporting illness after on. To DeSantis 46 %, still just outside the margin of error of 2.9! But announced his candidacy and continues to fume about the hearings and complain that the 2020 was!, garnering ron desantis approval rating rcp percent approval, meaning he is running, justin a highly calculated, surreptitious manner,! Nothing new to offer he has gone into repeats like some wheezy syndicated.! The GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous in May showed the incumbent edging by! Favorability ratings underwater as Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections responding at the of. August, 76 percent disapproveda 4 percent increase a slightly negative 41-44 % favorability rating order and signed banning! During that time approved of Abbotts performance and signed legislation banning both, respectively Democrats disapproved of his performance. % -20 % ) than among the general public down 10 points from January, 2021 5:55! Do that on his own since the start of July, only 38 percent disapproved of his job performance value... Poll 's margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent has been fully vaccinated most recently the! A likely voter sample, '' Fabrizio highlights in his state 's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations deaths. Point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East sweetener. +/- 2.9 percent Crist is polling one point, suggesting that the May! Of Independent voters who disapprove of Republican voters in their states, though has... Be comfortably ahead of Pence, 39 percent to 51 percent of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in past!
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